Arsenal vs Chelsea
Kick-off 20:30 IST
Arsenal are unbeaten at home in the league this season and have won 8 of their last 10 against Chelsea in all competitions. Chelsea’s away form remains inconsistent, particularly against top-half sides.
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Arsenal’s expected goals (xG) at home has averaged 2.1 over the last six matches, while Chelsea have conceded 1.6 xG per away game in the same period.
Key absences for Chelsea in midfield reduce their ability to control transitions. We expect Arsenal to control the tempo and create the clearer chances.
The price of 1.85 still offers value relative to our assessed probability of approximately 58%.
